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Sample space

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Intro to Probability for Business

Definition

A sample space is the set of all possible outcomes of a random experiment. It serves as the foundation for probability theory, allowing one to analyze and quantify uncertainty. Each outcome in the sample space is mutually exclusive, meaning that they cannot occur simultaneously, and collectively exhaustive, covering all potential results of the experiment.

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5 Must Know Facts For Your Next Test

  1. The sample space can be finite, such as when rolling a die (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6), or infinite, like flipping a coin until it lands heads.
  2. In discrete experiments, the sample space can be listed explicitly, while in continuous experiments, it may be represented by intervals or ranges.
  3. The size of the sample space affects the calculation of probabilities; larger sample spaces typically lead to lower probabilities for specific events.
  4. In conditional probability, the sample space may change based on prior knowledge or information about another event.
  5. Understanding the sample space is crucial for applying the rules of probability and determining relationships between events.

Review Questions

  • How does understanding the sample space help in calculating probabilities for different events?
    • Understanding the sample space is essential because it provides all possible outcomes of an experiment. By knowing what outcomes are available, you can determine how many of those outcomes correspond to a specific event. This allows for accurate probability calculations using the formula $$P(E) = \frac{n(E)}{n(S)}$$ where $$n(E)$$ is the number of favorable outcomes for event E and $$n(S)$$ is the total number of outcomes in the sample space.
  • Discuss how conditional probability relates to changes in the sample space when given new information.
    • Conditional probability considers how the likelihood of an event changes when additional information is available. When new information is provided, it can restrict or alter the original sample space by excluding certain outcomes. This leads to a modified calculation where only the relevant outcomes remain, influencing both probability assessments and decision-making processes based on updated evidence.
  • Evaluate the significance of having both finite and infinite sample spaces in probability theory and their implications on real-world applications.
    • Having both finite and infinite sample spaces allows probability theory to model a wide range of real-world situations. Finite sample spaces simplify calculations and are often used in discrete scenarios like games or surveys. Conversely, infinite sample spaces are essential for modeling continuous processes such as time or measurements. The ability to adapt to either type highlights probability's versatility in applications ranging from finance to science, impacting decision-making and risk assessment across various fields.
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