Stochastic Processes

🔀Stochastic Processes Unit 8 – Queueing theory

Queueing theory is a branch of stochastic processes that studies waiting lines. It analyzes customer arrivals, service times, and system performance to optimize resource allocation and improve efficiency in various real-world scenarios. From simple single-server models to complex networks, queueing theory provides tools to evaluate and enhance systems. It's used in call centers, hospitals, manufacturing, and more, helping organizations make data-driven decisions to balance customer satisfaction and operational costs.

Key Concepts and Definitions

  • Queueing theory studies the behavior of waiting lines or queues and involves the mathematical analysis of queue lengths, waiting times, and system performance
  • A queueing system consists of customers arriving for service, waiting in a queue if the service is not immediately available, and leaving the system after being served
  • Customers can refer to people, objects, or tasks that require service from a resource or server
  • Servers are the resources that provide the required service to the customers and can be represented by human operators, machines, or communication channels
  • Arrival process describes the pattern in which customers enter the queueing system, often characterized by the inter-arrival times between consecutive customers
  • Service process represents the pattern in which customers are served by the servers, often described by the service times required by each customer
  • Queue discipline specifies the order in which customers are selected from the queue for service (FIFO, LIFO, priority)

Queueing Models and Notation

  • Queueing models are mathematical representations of queueing systems used to analyze system performance and make operational decisions
  • Kendall's notation is a standard way to describe queueing models and has the form A/S/c/K/N/D
    • A represents the arrival process (M for Markovian, G for general, D for deterministic)
    • S represents the service process (M for Markovian, G for general, D for deterministic)
    • c represents the number of servers
    • K represents the maximum number of customers allowed in the system (default: infinite)
    • N represents the size of the population from which customers arrive (default: infinite)
    • D represents the queue discipline (default: FIFO)
  • Common queueing models include M/M/1 (single server with Poisson arrivals and exponential service times), M/M/c (multiple servers with Poisson arrivals and exponential service times), and M/G/1 (single server with Poisson arrivals and general service times)
  • Birth-death processes are often used to model queueing systems, where births represent arrivals and deaths represent departures

Arrival and Service Processes

  • The arrival process is often modeled using a Poisson process, where the inter-arrival times between consecutive customers are independent and exponentially distributed with rate λ
  • The service process is frequently modeled using an exponential distribution with rate μ, implying that the service times are independent and identically distributed
  • The traffic intensity or utilization factor, denoted by ρ, is defined as the ratio of the arrival rate to the service rate multiplied by the number of servers: ρ = λ / (cμ)
    • For a stable system, ρ must be less than 1 to ensure that the queue does not grow indefinitely
  • General arrival and service processes can be modeled using phase-type distributions, which are constructed by combining exponential distributions
  • Batch arrivals and batch service can be incorporated into queueing models to represent situations where customers arrive or are served in groups

Performance Measures

  • Performance measures are used to evaluate the efficiency and effectiveness of a queueing system and to make decisions about resource allocation and system design
  • The average number of customers in the system (L) and the average number of customers in the queue (Lq) provide insights into the congestion level of the system
  • The average time a customer spends in the system (W) and the average time a customer spends waiting in the queue (Wq) are important measures of the system's responsiveness
  • The probability of having n customers in the system (Pn) and the probability of the system being empty (P0) are used to analyze the distribution of the number of customers in the system
  • The server utilization (ρ) indicates the proportion of time the servers are busy and is a key factor in determining the system's efficiency
  • The probability of a customer waiting in the queue (Pw) and the probability of a customer being blocked or lost (Pb) are relevant in systems with finite waiting rooms or impatient customers

Little's Law and Its Applications

  • Little's Law is a fundamental result in queueing theory that relates the average number of customers in a system to the average arrival rate and the average time spent in the system
  • The law states that L = λW, where L is the average number of customers in the system, λ is the average arrival rate, and W is the average time a customer spends in the system
  • Little's Law holds for any stable queueing system, regardless of the arrival process, service process, or queue discipline, making it a powerful tool for analyzing queueing systems
  • The law can be applied to subsystems, such as the queue alone, yielding Lq = λWq, where Lq is the average number of customers in the queue and Wq is the average waiting time in the queue
  • Little's Law is used to estimate performance measures, plan capacity, and optimize resource allocation in various applications, such as manufacturing, healthcare, and telecommunications

Markovian Queues (M/M/1, M/M/c)

  • Markovian queues are characterized by Poisson arrival processes (M) and exponential service times (M), resulting in a Markov chain representation of the system
  • The M/M/1 queue is the simplest Markovian queue with a single server, unlimited queue capacity, and FIFO discipline
    • The steady-state probability of having n customers in the system is given by Pn = (1 - ρ)ρ^n, where ρ = λ/μ
    • The average number of customers in the system is L = ρ / (1 - ρ), and the average waiting time in the system is W = 1 / (μ - λ)
  • The M/M/c queue is an extension of the M/M/1 queue with multiple servers (c) working in parallel
    • The steady-state probabilities and performance measures can be derived using the birth-death process and the balance equations
    • The Erlang C formula gives the probability of waiting in the queue, while the Erlang B formula provides the probability of blocking in a system with no waiting room
  • Markovian queues have the memoryless property, which simplifies the analysis and allows for closed-form solutions of performance measures

Queueing Networks

  • Queueing networks are systems composed of multiple interconnected queues, where customers may visit several queues before leaving the system
  • Open queueing networks have external arrivals and departures, while closed queueing networks have a fixed number of customers circulating within the system
  • Jackson networks are a class of open queueing networks where the arrival process at each node is Poisson, the service times are exponentially distributed, and the routing of customers between nodes is probabilistic
    • The steady-state distribution of a Jackson network can be expressed as the product of the individual queue distributions, known as the product-form solution
  • Closed queueing networks are often used to model systems with a fixed population, such as computer systems or manufacturing cells
    • The Gordon-Newell theorem provides the steady-state distribution for closed queueing networks with exponential service times and a fixed number of customers
  • Queueing network models are used to analyze the performance of complex systems, optimize resource allocation, and evaluate the impact of system changes or upgrades

Applications and Real-World Examples

  • Call centers use queueing theory to determine staffing levels, minimize customer waiting times, and improve service quality
    • The Erlang C formula is often used to calculate the probability of waiting and the average waiting time in a call center with multiple agents
  • Hospital emergency departments apply queueing models to manage patient flow, reduce waiting times, and optimize resource utilization
    • Priority queueing models can be used to triage patients based on the severity of their condition
  • Manufacturing systems employ queueing theory to balance production lines, minimize work-in-process inventory, and maximize throughput
    • Jackson networks can model the flow of parts through a manufacturing system with multiple workstations
  • Computer and telecommunication networks use queueing theory to analyze the performance of servers, routers, and switches
    • The M/M/1/K queue can model a router with a finite buffer size (K) to determine the probability of packet loss
  • Transportation systems, such as airports and traffic intersections, apply queueing models to optimize flow, reduce congestion, and minimize delays
    • The M/G/1 queue can be used to model a single-lane traffic intersection with general service times representing the time required for vehicles to cross the intersection


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© 2024 Fiveable Inc. All rights reserved.
AP® and SAT® are trademarks registered by the College Board, which is not affiliated with, and does not endorse this website.
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